Bettors are making stronger guesses at who will win the 2024 election. Recent polling doesn't appear to be fueling their ...

A presidential historian and professor who correctly predicted nine of the last 10 US elections said an “October surprise” ...

The presidential election comes down to five key numbers. A big part of that is how Trump and Harris reach outside of their base of support to other voting groups.

A historian dubbed the Nostradamus of presidential elections for correctly predicting nearly every race over four decades ...

Matthew McCaffery, the ousted Montgomery County Republican official who was swatted after speaking out against former ...

If you used only Washington’s primaries to forecast voting trends in the U.S. House, you’d do relatively well: The primary’s ...

Being the only US citizen in my family, it's made me think critically about who does not have that privilege — those who have ...

These cases together remind us that error stalks even the most confident of forecasts and that elite opinion is not always ...

If you used only Washington’s primaries to forecast voting trends in the U.S. House, you’d do relatively well: The primary’s ...

While Kamala Harris and Donald Trump get all the attention for the election, most races on the ballot for Sarasota voters ...

AP VoteCast captures the views of voters — whether they vote in person on Election Day or weeks ahead of time — by beginning ...

Sen. JD Vance’s refusal to accept the legitimacy of the 2020 election at last week’s vice presidential debate culminated his ...